Ware vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
56.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
WAR
2 - 2
CHA
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
NEE
4 - 0
WAR
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ENF
2 - 1
WAR
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WAR
1 - 1
SOH
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TIL
2 - 1
WAR
61%
21%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
YEL
1 - 2
ENF
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
LEI
1 - 1
YEL
41%
23%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 2
YEL
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
YEL
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
YEL
1 - 0
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |