Ware vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
WAR
4 - 2
WEL
65%
18%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
WAR
0 - 3
STI
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 3
HAR
58%
20%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
DID
1 - 0
WAR
39%
23%
37%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 4
WAR
59%
21%
21%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
AFD
2 - 4
NOR
29%
22%
48%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HER
1 - 2
AFD
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
AFD
2 - 1
NEW
17%
18%
66%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +3 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
AFD
2 - 4
BER
16%
21%
64%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
BIG
3 - 2
AFD
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |