Ware vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AYL
2 - 1
WAR
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 2
CAN
46%
23%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
KID
3 - 0
WAR
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WAR
1 - 1
KID
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
WAR
1 - 2
HAR
82%
11%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
AFD
3 - 2
BFC
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 2
AFD
44%
23%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AFD
3 - 0
WAN
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
AFD
2 - 3
PET
11%
18%
71%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HAS
3 - 0
AFD
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |