ES Wasquehal vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
14º
8º
31
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Wasquehal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
STG
1 - 2
ESW
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ESW
1 - 3
SML
33%
28%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
REI
1 - 3
ESW
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BOB
0 - 1
ESW
84%
12%
4%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PDC
1 - 1
ESW
12%
17%
71%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MET
2 - 3
USB
30%
26%
45%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LUS
3 - 0
MET
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
COL
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
BRC
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SPI
4 - 1
MET
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |