Wantage Town vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
62.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wantage Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
WAN
1 - 1
DID
16%
17%
67%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SLI
2 - 2
WAN
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WAN
4 - 2
HAN
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
WAN
1 - 1
EVE
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BID
3 - 1
WAN
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
KID
0 - 5
BEA
18%
19%
63%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BEA
1 - 5
BED
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 3
BEA
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BEA
2 - 2
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
BEA
45%
24%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |