Wanchai vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
76.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wanchai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
EAD
2 - 1
WAN
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
WAN
1 - 1
TCS
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
WAN
0 - 5
WON
6%
12%
82%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
HON
8 - 0
WAN
92%
6%
2%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TUN
2 - 3
WAN
89%
8%
4%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TCS
1 - 4
CAA
44%
22%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAA
1 - 4
SHA
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
SCA
4 - 3
CAA
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MUT
1 - 1
CAA
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAA
0 - 1
HOI
64%
19%
17%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |