Wanaka vs Cashmere Technical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
7.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.7%
73.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
4.2%
3-5
1.2%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
2.7%
3-6
0.6%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
4%
2-6
1.4%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.6%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.3%
3-9
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
8º
8º
28
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 42 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 40 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 40 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 29 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 28 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 25 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 21 |
7º
|
49% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 19 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 7 |
9º
|
72.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 5 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wanaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 0
WNK
17%
17%
66%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
WNK
1 - 0
UOC
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
4 - 1
WNK
59%
19%
23%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WNK
4 - 1
WEA
77%
14%
10%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ROW
5 - 2
WNK
48%
21%
32%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 2
COA
70%
15%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SUF
1 - 5
CAS
5%
9%
87%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
BIR
49%
20%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
EAS
60%
18%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
WES
4 - 3
CAS
41%
20%
39%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |