Walton & Hersham vs Sutton Common Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.1%
Win probability
3.79
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.8%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.1%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.6%
2.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
18º
2º
37
6º
19º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
57 | 57 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
56 | 56 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 52 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 38 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
37 | 37 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
36 | 36 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
35 | 35 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
24 | 24 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walton & Hersham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 0
MAR
56%
22%
23%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
MER
3 - 3
WAL
19%
21%
60%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 2
LEA
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 1
WAL
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
WAL
6 - 0
GUE
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sutton Common Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SCR
0 - 5
BAS
6%
11%
83%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GUE
1 - 0
SCR
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
MER
3 - 0
SCR
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SCR
0 - 1
CHI
8%
14%
78%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
LEA
4 - 3
SCR
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |