Walsall vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SHW
2 - 2
WAL
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
YEO
2 - 1
WAL
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
WAL
0 - 0
HAR
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
WAL
3 - 2
SHE
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LEY
1 - 1
WAL
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
STE
0 - 0
COL
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 0
STE
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
STE
1 - 0
OLD
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
STE
2 - 2
CHE
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
TOT
3 - 1
STE
83%
13%
5%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |