Carabao Cup 1/64
Global 1-3
Walsall vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1989 |
WAL
1 - 3
BAR
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1989 |
BBU
3 - 0
WAL
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1989 |
LEE
1 - 0
WAL
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1989 |
WAL
2 - 2
SWI
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1989 |
STO
0 - 3
WAL
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1989 |
BRA
2 - 2
POR
59%
23%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
POR
1 - 3
NOR
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
BOL
1 - 2
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1988 |
SOU
0 - 2
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1988 |
IPS
3 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |