Walsall vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CUM
2 - 1
WAL
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
WAL
2 - 1
CRA
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 1
WAL
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
WAL
1 - 2
OPA
16%
19%
65%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 2
WAL
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAM
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NOR
4 - 1
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 1
POR
29%
28%
43%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
COL
21%
26%
53%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 0
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |