Walsall vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1962 |
BRO
2 - 2
WAL
57%
21%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1962 |
WAL
1 - 1
LEE
61%
21%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
LUT
2 - 0
WAL
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1962 |
NOR
3 - 1
WAL
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1962 |
WAL
3 - 1
STO
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1962 |
STO
2 - 0
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1962 |
MID
5 - 0
BRO
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1962 |
LEE
2 - 0
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1962 |
ROT
0 - 1
MID
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1962 |
MID
0 - 1
SUN
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |