FA Cup 1/64
Global 1-1
Walsall vs Dagenham & Redbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 1
CHA
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DAG
1 - 1
WAL
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
STE
0 - 0
WAL
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
WAL
3 - 2
EXE
41%
24%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 4
BCF
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dagenham & Redbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
DAG
1 - 2
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DAG
1 - 1
WAL
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
STA
3 - 0
DAG
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
BAT
1 - 3
DAG
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DAG
2 - 3
SOU
16%
23%
61%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |