Waitakere United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
TEA
1 - 2
WAI
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
0 - 1
AUC
54%
23%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
3 - 1
OTA
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CAN
0 - 2
WAI
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
WAI
1 - 3
WAI
24%
24%
51%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 3
CAN
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
HAW
2 - 1
MAN
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 3
TEA
34%
24%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MAN
5 - 2
WAI
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
AUC
3 - 1
MAN
69%
18%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |