Waitakere United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
ADE
2 - 1
WAI
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
1 - 1
CAN
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
AUC
1 - 2
WAI
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
3 - 0
PVS
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 10 | 61 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
TEA
2 - 4
WAI
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
MAN
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
HAW
72%
17%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
OTA
2 - 3
MAN
22%
24%
55%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 0
TEA
46%
23%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CAN
0 - 1
MAN
36%
24%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |