Waitakere United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
WAI
6 - 1
AMD
81%
12%
7%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
AUC
1 - 1
WAI
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
WAI
4 - 2
TEA
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
WAI
4 - 2
WAI
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
CAN
2 - 1
WAI
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
MAN
4 - 3
HAW
84%
11%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
OTA
0 - 1
MAN
17%
22%
62%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
MAN
5 - 0
TEA
64%
19%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
AUC
5 - 3
MAN
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 3
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |