Waitakere United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
AUC
4 - 2
WAI
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CAN
0 - 1
WAI
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
WAI
4 - 0
NAP
41%
23%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
WAI
1 - 1
TEA
46%
24%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
WAI
3 - 0
WAI
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
MAN
4 - 1
SOU
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
WAI
0 - 0
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 1
TEA
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2005 |
NAP
4 - 3
MAN
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 1
CAN
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |