Waitakere United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2005 |
WAI
1 - 2
WAI
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
WAI
5 - 2
CAN
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
AUC
1 - 0
WAI
67%
20%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 0
WAI
55%
23%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
WAI
1 - 1
TEA
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
CAN
1 - 1
MAN
52%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 1
WAI
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAN
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 2
TEA
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
MAN
4 - 1
NAP
44%
23%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |