Waitakere United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
MIR
2 - 0
WAI
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
MTW
1 - 1
WAI
62%
21%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
CAN
5 - 1
WAI
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 0
WAI
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
WAI
3 - 4
NAP
38%
23%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
NAP
5 - 2
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 3
TCU
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
NSH
4 - 1
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
CAN
3 - 1
MAN
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
CEN
2 - 1
MAN
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |