Waitakere United vs Magenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
TEA
4 - 3
WAI
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
WAI
4 - 0
OTA
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
WAI
1 - 1
AUC
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
WAI
3 - 2
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CAN
4 - 0
WAI
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MAG
4 - 0
AKU
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAG
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -19 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 1
MAG
85%
10%
5%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MAG
1 - 1
WAI
17%
20%
63%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2006 |
NOK
0 - 1
MAG
11%
17%
72%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |