WaiBOP vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WaiBOP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2005 |
CAN
1 - 2
WAI
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 1
WAI
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
WAI
3 - 0
WAI
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
WAI
3 - 1
NAP
38%
24%
38%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
AUC
1 - 2
WAI
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 1
TEA
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2005 |
NAP
4 - 3
MAN
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 1
CAN
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 2
AUC
37%
25%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
WAI
1 - 0
MAN
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |