Walthamstow vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walthamstow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
WAL
3 - 1
CHA
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 0
HAR
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
WAL
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WAL
3 - 2
MAL
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
ILF
0 - 1
WAL
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 3
TIL
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ILF
2 - 2
TIL
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
TIL
2 - 1
HAR
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
POT
3 - 2
TIL
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
TIL
1 - 3
HEY
24%
24%
51%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |