Wagiya vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
62.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wagiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
7 - 0
WAG
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
WAG
1 - 2
ALT
12%
18%
70%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BEL
7 - 3
WAG
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
WAG
1 - 5
BDC
20%
20%
60%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 0
WAG
71%
17%
13%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 0
BEL
71%
17%
13%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
POL
0 - 3
PRO
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
HAN
37%
23%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
PLA
2 - 0
PRO
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 0
WAG
71%
17%
13%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |