Wagiya vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wagiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
WAG
0 - 5
HAN
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PLA
5 - 2
WAG
77%
13%
10%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
WAG
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
8 - 4
WAG
79%
12%
8%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
WAG
0 - 6
ALT
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 2
ALT
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
PRO
24%
21%
55%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
BDC
46%
23%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 1
PRO
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 2
PLA
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |