Wagiya vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
61.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wagiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
POL
3 - 1
WAG
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WAG
3 - 2
BEL
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BDC
5 - 1
WAG
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
WAG
0 - 8
PRO
16%
20%
65%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
HAN
4 - 0
WAG
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 0
BEL
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 1
PRO
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
HAN
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 2
PLA
45%
23%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
HAN
2 - 0
PRO
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |