Wagiya vs Progresso analysis


18	ELO	33
3.9%	Tilt	14.6%
26924º	General ELO ranking	48890º
17º	Country ELO ranking	37º
ELO win probability

15.9%

Wagiya

19.6%

Draw

64.5%

Progresso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

15.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%

19.6%

Draw

0-0

4.3%

1-1

9.1%

2-2

4.8%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

19.6%

64.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-83%

-47%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

7º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

6

7º

8º

7º

23

3º

7º

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

4º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
2º	27	30	1º	53%
3º	26	29	2º	27.5%
1º	28	28	3º	27.5%
4º	23	23	4º	100%
5º	22	22	5º	100%
6º	21	21	6º	100%
7º	6	6	7º	100%
8º	2	2	8º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Next round	0%	100%
Mid-table	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wagiya

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
03 Apr. 2023	HAN 4 - 0 WAG 75% 16% 10%	19	32	13	0
19 Mar. 2023	WAG 0 - 5 ALT 19% 20% 61%	20	31	11	-1
12 Mar. 2023	WAG 0 - 4 SPP 20% 20% 60%	21	32	11	-1
05 Mar. 2023	PLA 6 - 2 WAG 74% 15% 11%	21	32	11	0
26 Feb. 2023	BEL 1 - 2 WAG 56% 21% 24%	21	23	2	0

Matches

Progresso

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
02 Apr. 2023	PRO 2 - 0 BEL 77% 14% 9%	32	21	11
19 Mar. 2023	PRO 3 - 0 BDC 48% 22% 30%	32	31	1
12 Mar. 2023	ALT 1 - 2 PRO 48% 23% 29%	32	32	0
05 Mar. 2023	PRO 0 - 0 SPP 51% 22% 27%	32	31	1
26 Feb. 2023	PLA 0 - 0 PRO 53% 21% 26%	32	32	0