Wagiya vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
48.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-83%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wagiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
4 - 2
WAG
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
WAG
0 - 2
SPP
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BDC
1 - 1
WAG
53%
20%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
WAG
2 - 2
HAN
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
WAG
1 - 2
ALT
38%
23%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
HAN
1 - 1
PRO
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
BEL
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPP
1 - 1
PRO
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 1
PRO
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 1
PRO
49%
22%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |