Wagga City Wanderers vs Avalon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wagga City Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
RRF
0 - 5
WCW
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
WOL
1 - 0
WCW
84%
12%
4%
|
12 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Avalon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
CSD
0 - 3
ASC
35%
22%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |