Wacker Nordhausen vs Bischofswerdaer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
17º
15º
59
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wacker Nordhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 0
WAC
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
WAC
3 - 3
PLA
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AUE
3 - 1
WAC
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
WAC
1 - 1
UNI
39%
24%
36%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SVB
3 - 0
WAC
47%
21%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 0
VFL
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BIS
3 - 0
SCF
26%
22%
53%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +4 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 1
BIS
33%
24%
44%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BIS
0 - 0
PLA
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AUE
1 - 1
BIS
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |