Wacker Innsbruck vs Mils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
2º
1º
22
3º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wacker Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 4
WIN
8%
15%
77%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
3 - 0
EBB
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FUG
0 - 4
WIN
11%
18%
71%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
WIN
6 - 0
WOR
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 3
WIN
12%
18%
70%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SCM
1 - 5
FCV
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SCM
0 - 3
KEM
23%
20%
58%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SCM
1 - 1
KUN
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
4 - 0
SCM
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SCM
3 - 3
EBB
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |