W Connection vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 5
CON
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
CON
3 - 0
ANN
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
DEF
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
CON
0 - 3
CEN
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
ARN
26%
23%
52%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
PUM
1 - 0
LEO
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
PUM
1 - 0
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
PUM
2 - 1
IVT
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
IVT
2 - 1
PUM
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |