W Connection vs Point Fortin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
POL
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 2
CON
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CON
5 - 1
CSM
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
CON
3 - 1
INT
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
CON
4 - 2
AFC
46%
22%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Point Fortin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
POI
53%
22%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
POI
1 - 3
CEN
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
POI
2 - 1
POL
29%
23%
47%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
POI
43%
23%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
POI
1 - 1
ANN
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |