W Connection vs Ma Pau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 3
CON
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
CON
3 - 1
CAL
63%
20%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CON
4 - 0
ANN
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
DEF
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
CON
7 - 0
POI
60%
21%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 0
CAL
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
PAU
0 - 1
DEF
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 5
PAU
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 0
PAU
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAU
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |