W Connection vs Ma Pau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 1
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
CON
0 - 1
NOR
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SEN
0 - 6
CON
33%
27%
39%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
POL
0 - 5
CON
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2010 |
CON
4 - 1
STA
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 3
PAU
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
PAU
3 - 1
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 1
PAU
53%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
PAU
1 - 0
DEF
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |