W Connection vs Ma Pau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
TBU
0 - 0
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
CON
8 - 0
POL
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
UPT
2 - 5
CON
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
COM
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
RES
1 - 0
CON
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
JOE
2 - 1
PAU
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 0
SEN
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 3
PAU
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
4 - 2
CAL
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2009 |
UPT
0 - 0
PAU
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |