W Connection vs Ma Pau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 0
CON
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CON
4 - 1
TBU
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
JOE
1 - 1
CON
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
CON
3 - 1
CAL
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
PAU
2 - 2
TBU
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 1
PAU
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |