W Connection vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
46.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
CON
2 - 4
PUM
16%
22%
63%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 5
CON
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
CON
3 - 0
ANN
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
DEF
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
CON
0 - 3
CEN
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 1
JUT
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
PUM
2 - 0
HNP
81%
13%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
PLA
4 - 1
HNP
36%
26%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
HNP
4 - 1
RSO
41%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 1
HNP
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |