CONCACAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
W Connection vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 1
CON
48%
23%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
CON
3 - 2
HAR
35%
24%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2006 |
PRI
0 - 1
CON
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2006 |
CON
5 - 0
HOP
72%
17%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
CON
3 - 1
JOE
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 2
CHI
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CHI
0 - 1
PAC
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 3
CHI
36%
26%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 2
CHI
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |