W Connection vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LHR
4 - 1
CON
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 4
CON
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
POI
0 - 1
CON
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
CON
2 - 3
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
CON
0 - 4
POL
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 1
CUN
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
DEF
3 - 1
ATH
74%
17%
10%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
LHR
0 - 2
DEF
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
POI
0 - 3
DEF
25%
25%
49%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 2
DEF
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |