W Connection vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CON
2 - 2
NOR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
CON
3 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
POL
1 - 0
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CON
3 - 1
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
POI
1 - 2
CON
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 0
MOR
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 0
POI
76%
15%
10%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 4
CEN
37%
26%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 2
NOR
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
DEF
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |