W Connection vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CON
5 - 0
ANN
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
CON
3 - 0
NOR
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
CEN
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
POI
0 - 0
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
CON
36%
25%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
POL
1 - 0
DEF
35%
25%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
DEF
5 - 1
POI
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 4
DEF
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
SAN
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 2
DEF
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |