W Connection vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
POI
2 - 1
CON
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ANN
0 - 4
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 1
CON
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
CEN
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
CON
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
CEN
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
DEF
40%
25%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
DEF
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
NOR
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
DEF
3 - 2
ANN
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |