W Connection vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
ANT
74%
16%
9%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CON
4 - 0
CAL
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CON
4 - 0
ECM
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
STA
0 - 3
CON
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 3
DEF
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
POL
0 - 2
DEF
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 0
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 1
NOR
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
STA
0 - 3
DEF
27%
24%
49%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |