W Connection vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CON
0 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
CON
0 - 1
CAL
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
TBU
0 - 2
CON
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
STA
0 - 2
CON
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
CON
4 - 0
POL
75%
16%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
POL
0 - 3
DEF
27%
23%
50%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 0
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
TBU
0 - 3
DEF
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
STA
2 - 4
DEF
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
DEF
4 - 3
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |