W Connection vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
CAL
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
PUM
2 - 1
CON
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
COM
0 - 3
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
CON
2 - 2
PUM
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
JOE
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DEF
3 - 1
TBU
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ANN
2 - 3
DEF
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
POL
1 - 5
DEF
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 3
PAU
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |