W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
10º
9º
17
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 56 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 54 |
2º
|
52% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
LHR
2 - 1
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POL
1 - 2
CON
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CON
0 - 2
CEN
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
CON
3 - 0
CUN
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
ATH
73%
17%
9%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
PSE
2 - 1
CAL
5%
15%
81%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 1
CAL
41%
25%
33%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 0
CUN
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ANN
0 - 3
CAL
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +13 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
CON
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |