W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CON
4 - 0
ANN
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
DEF
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
CON
7 - 0
POI
60%
21%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
PUM
8 - 1
CON
81%
14%
6%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
DEF
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 3
CAL
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 1
CAL
70%
17%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 4
SAN
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ANN
1 - 1
CAL
30%
23%
48%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |