W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 4
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
DEF
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
CON
6 - 1
POL
61%
21%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
POI
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 1
CON
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
4 - 0
CAL
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
STA
3 - 2
CAL
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
CEN
5 - 1
CAL
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
POL
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |