W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
CEN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
POI
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
NOR
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
CON
3 - 2
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
HOD
2 - 0
CON
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
STA
1 - 6
CAL
29%
25%
47%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CAL
4 - 1
SAN
55%
22%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
3 - 2
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
POL
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
COM
2 - 0
CAL
54%
23%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |