W Connection vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
CHI
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 2
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 0
CON
68%
20%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
CON
2 - 2
CHI
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
CON
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAL
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 3
NOR
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 3
SES
20%
23%
58%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 0
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
SES
3 - 1
CAL
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |